Indian foreign policy at crossroads
When the US left Afghanistan, India was in a state of disrepair. The US took the decision in 2015 itself and since then China-Pakistan became increasingly active. The result was that the US did not even vacate the airport that at the same time China almost hit the entry and announced investment in support of the Taliban. On the other hand, the Prime Minister of Pakistan looked very excited and by boasting more than his due, he was seen showing his victory directly. Here our policy makers started looking towards the Prime Minister who, due to complacency, has controlled almost most of them, including the Ministry of External Affairs. (As it seems from the statements and foreign trips.) Apart from traveling abroad and stage shows, he could not do anything serious.
Politics and international relations from Afghanistan to Turkey and the Middle East are religion-based. It can be written in a better way that it is based on the mood of the public. This is because power is centralized and responsibility rests with a limited number of people, from which other classes take up arms. This has not led to political modernization. This is a big reason apart from the international loot of possession of resources and the geopolitics game of America and Russia.
Pakistan is traveling more and more to the Taliban stronghold whenever it wants. Directly helping the Taliban take power and form the government. He went even further and carried out air strikes in Panjshir in support of the Taliban. But we could not do anything except sit on our hands.
Now the changed situation is out of control, due to which there is no option other than monitoring. It has been difficult for anyone to survive in this region and it is more complicated now that the extremists have taken over the rule.
Foreign Policy without Choice:
The focus of Indian politics was kept only for election victory strategy, blast of words to divert public attention, master stroke, stage show, Hindu Muslim, privatization. Moreover, the attention was not taken far and wide, leaving us with no option but to support the Taliban only and only in Afghanistan today. We considered it our best to depend only on America.
On the other hand, India is almost out despite making huge investments in Iran's Chabahar port. has lost its activism.
China will find Pakistan important only in the context of India which wants to reach Karachi via PoK and will continue to hurt India whenever. But now China will focus its attention on reviving the Silk Road by shifting its focus to Europe via Afghanistan via Iran. Its consequences will be far-reaching. We are going straight behind now.
We can discuss some of the results that may come up:
1 * China's access from the Middle East to Africa and Europe will be easier and the geopolitics of the entire region will change. Due to which America will continue to lose its supremacy and China will grow rapidly towards becoming a superpower.
2* Russia will show its interest in this area. Due to this there may be tension between Russia and China. Here there will be an opportunity for India which in future India can tilt its position further.
In this entire region, India will be watching silently sitting entirely on the shelter of some insurgent groups in Iran and Afghanistan or with the support of Russia. Apart from this, India has limited options.
So it is also important to know what India should do or what it could have done. :
1 * Foreign Minister should be given independence and made accountable in all respects and a separate think tank should be made in the Ministry of External Affairs which is above party politics like it is in America. Today, even though the President changed, but the decisions of Trump did not change and his army was definitely withdrawn from Afghanistan.
2* When the US decided to leave Afghanistan, it could make India a multinational institution and force the US to remain limited with countries capable of interfering in Afghanistan's decision. Iran was to invest and build public opinion against the proposal of the UNO and pressure from the US by working more vigorously.
3 * It is necessary to formulate a millennium policy. India, like China, can work on it by making a policy for the next 100 or 150 years or 500 years, provided we have to be more democratic and committed on this issue and leave petty politics of thinking limited to winning elections.
4* Tajikistan sign a long-term military presence agreement with investment, paying more attention to Uzbekistan.
5* The migration of Indian citizens to the Middle East should be increased and their presence would have to be maintained.
6* Instability should be created in Pakistan, we should try till it becomes a sick nation and in any case, we must make a difference between the two types of people who are anti-terrorists and those who support terrorism.
7* Continuing to make equal efforts to emphasize and interfere with democracy in PoK and from there elect representatives in various elections and clearly make them representative in Parliament and Vidhan Sabha. Be it imaginary or real.
6 * It is necessary to take the relationship beyond arms-trading by making agreements on agriculture, labor exchange and mineral based agreements with Russia.
7* It is unfortunate to have community tension for peace and co-existence in the Indian society, here in a positive way politics and for this, working on a policy of long-term health, education and national spirit building and integration by rising above party politics and providing progressive and progressive empowerment to the minorities. Modernize them and prepare them for Indian identity and make them feel safe.
8* Now have to come openly with the Taliban and maintain their presence. In this way, the statement of the Taliban and it will have to be stopped from becoming a global pillar of Muslim society. Though the current ruling may get immediate benefit from the thoughts and statements of the Taliban, but in the long run it will not be in the interest of the nation. Therefore, it is necessary to stop any such provocation and it would be unfortunate to drag him into politics.
9* Arab, Iran and Afghanistan will have to invest by strengthening ties.
10 * Working on the "Look East" policy of former Prime Minister Inder Kumar Gujral, the East West Corridor of railways and highways should be made, which will connect ASEAN countries to the Pakistan border, so that later Pakistan will connect it to the Middle East due to its vested interests. and have direct contact with India.
The above views are in the context of China's strength, but there is still potential from the Islamic point of view and keeping them in mind, "India's gesture in favor of the Taliban can be considered a good step." I will consider this topic in the next section.
the rest in the next section
Indian government has the policy of wait n watch the situation. You analysed the situation in a broader prospect.Thanx for apprising the occrences. Delay in response is regretted.
जवाब देंहटाएंU S Chandela